Ukrainian Premier League Promotion Final
Global 1-3
Chornomorets Odessa vs Poltava analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
20.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chornomorets Odessa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2018 |
CHO
1 - 0
ZIR
34%
29%
37%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
OLI
1 - 0
CHO
53%
26%
22%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
CHO
1 - 1
KPT
34%
30%
36%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
STA
1 - 2
CHO
44%
29%
28%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
CHO
1 - 3
PFC
27%
30%
43%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Poltava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2018 |
RYV
1 - 0
POL
42%
28%
31%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
POL
1 - 1
KOL
42%
28%
30%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
POL
1 - 0
VOL
51%
26%
24%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2018 |
HEL
0 - 2
POL
29%
28%
43%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
POL
2 - 0
INH
39%
29%
32%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |