Chornomorets Odessa vs Obolon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
21.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
11º
15º
13º
2
8º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
16 | 58 |
1º
|
33% | |
|
7º
|
9 | 57 |
2º
|
22% | |
|
2º
|
16 | 55 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 51 |
4º
|
14% | |
|
3º
|
14 | 50 |
5º
|
14% | |
|
6º
|
11 | 47 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
5º
|
11 | 44 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
8º
|
9 | 44 |
8º
|
9% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 43 |
9º
|
16% | |
|
4º
|
11 | 40 |
10º
|
16% | |
|
14º
|
4 | 34 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
13º
|
5 | 31 |
12º
|
16% | |
|
|
12º
|
6 | 30 |
13º
|
16.5% | |
|
15º
|
3 | 27 |
14º
|
20% | |
|
11º
|
6 | 27 |
15º
|
18% | |
|
|
16º
|
2 | 23 |
16º
|
41.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
50% | 14% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
28.5% | 21% |
|
Relegation
|
21.5% | 65% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chornomorets Odessa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
CHO
0 - 1
KPT
37%
27%
36%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
CHO
1 - 0
INH
42%
27%
32%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
CHO
1 - 4
POL
35%
27%
37%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
LIV
1 - 0
CHO
39%
27%
34%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
KPT
3 - 0
CHO
55%
22%
23%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Obolon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
OBO
0 - 0
PFC
24%
27%
50%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
OBO
0 - 2
ZOR
19%
24%
57%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
POL
4 - 0
OBO
59%
24%
17%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
KOL
0 - 0
OBO
46%
27%
27%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
VOR
2 - 0
OBO
62%
23%
16%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | -1 |