Chornomorets Odessa vs Metalist Kharkiv analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.8%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.4%
57.8%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
9º
16º
9º
22
3º
15º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
67 | 67 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
22 | 22 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
13 | 13 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chornomorets Odessa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2022 |
CHO
2 - 0
LVI
47%
27%
26%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2022 |
MIN
0 - 1
CHO
38%
28%
35%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
CHO
0 - 3
DYN
12%
20%
69%
|
61 | 81 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
SKD
1 - 0
CHO
79%
15%
7%
|
62 | 80 | 18 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2022 |
KOL
1 - 1
CHO
58%
25%
17%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Metalist Kharkiv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
MIN
1 - 0
MET
12%
22%
67%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2022 |
MET
0 - 1
HKR
72%
19%
9%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2022 |
MET
0 - 0
MET
72%
19%
9%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
ZOR
3 - 2
MET
51%
24%
25%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
LVI
1 - 1
MET
14%
23%
63%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | 0 |