Europa League 1/32
Global 1-3
Chornomorets Odessa vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
27.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1975 |
LAZ
2 - 0
AVE
83%
12%
5%
|
82 | 57 | 25 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1975 |
LAZ
1 - 0
VAR
73%
17%
10%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 1975 |
ASC
0 - 0
LAZ
30%
26%
44%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | -1 |
| 18 May. 1975 |
LAZ
1 - 0
ASC
70%
19%
10%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 May. 1975 |
ACM
1 - 1
LAZ
63%
22%
15%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |