Chornomorets Odessa vs Inhulets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
31.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
11º
15º
13º
3
11º
15º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
15 | 62 |
1º
|
43.5% | |
|
7º
|
9 | 59 |
2º
|
24.5% | |
|
1º
|
16 | 55 |
3º
|
16% | |
|
8º
|
9 | 50 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
6º
|
10 | 49 |
5º
|
13.5% | |
|
3º
|
13 | 49 |
6º
|
11.5% | |
|
5º
|
10 | 46 |
7º
|
14% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 44 |
8º
|
13.5% | |
|
9º
|
8 | 41 |
9º
|
12.5% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 40 |
10º
|
15% | |
|
13º
|
4 | 31 |
11º
|
15% | |
|
|
15º
|
3 | 30 |
12º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
6 | 30 |
13º
|
17% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 27 |
14º
|
15% | |
|
11º
|
6 | 27 |
15º
|
17% | |
|
16º
|
2 | 23 |
16º
|
37.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
44.5% | 49% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
34.5% | 33% |
|
Relegation
|
21% | 18% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chornomorets Odessa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
CHO
1 - 4
POL
35%
27%
37%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
LIV
1 - 0
CHO
39%
27%
34%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
KPT
3 - 0
CHO
55%
22%
23%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
CHO
1 - 0
KOL
43%
27%
30%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
CHO
0 - 1
ZOR
23%
24%
53%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Inhulets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
RYV
5 - 0
INH
54%
25%
21%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
HKR
1 - 1
INH
57%
24%
20%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
PRO
2 - 2
INH
5%
12%
84%
|
76 | 13 | 63 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
POL
1 - 1
INH
51%
26%
23%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
KOL
0 - 0
INH
38%
29%
33%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |