Chornomorets Odessa vs FC Kryvbas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
42.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
9º
15º
15º
31
3º
10º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
43 | 65 |
1º
|
81.5% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 59 |
2º
|
29.5% | |
|
3º
|
33 | 57 |
3º
|
31% | |
|
|
4º
|
31 | 52 |
4º
|
36.5% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 46 |
5º
|
22.5% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 46 |
6º
|
15.5% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 44 |
7º
|
18.5% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 42 |
8º
|
23% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 35 |
9º
|
18.5% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 35 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 34 |
11º
|
15% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 31 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
16º
|
9 | 28 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 28 |
14º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
12 | 27 |
15º
|
21% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 26 |
16º
|
27% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 3% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 29.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
20% | 67.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
31% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
49% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chornomorets Odessa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
PFC
3 - 0
CHO
67%
20%
13%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
DYN
3 - 1
CHO
63%
21%
16%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2024 |
CHO
0 - 1
VOR
35%
27%
39%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
SHA
2 - 1
CHO
66%
19%
14%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
RYV
1 - 1
CHO
55%
24%
20%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
FC Kryvbas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
HKR
3 - 1
POL
47%
25%
28%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
OBO
0 - 1
HKR
27%
27%
46%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
KOL
1 - 1
HKR
30%
29%
41%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2024 |
HKR
1 - 1
RYV
46%
25%
29%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
POL
2 - 1
HKR
49%
25%
26%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |