Chorley vs Worcester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.9%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.8%
10.2%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chorley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
NUN
1 - 1
CHO
42%
26%
33%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
CHO
4 - 0
GAI
68%
19%
13%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
CHO
0 - 3
CUR
53%
24%
23%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2017 |
SAL
1 - 1
CHO
60%
22%
18%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
TOW
2 - 1
CHO
45%
24%
31%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Worcester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
WOR
1 - 1
CUR
25%
25%
50%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
AFC
1 - 0
WOR
56%
23%
21%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
STA
0 - 1
WOR
56%
22%
23%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2017 |
WOR
1 - 2
BRA
18%
24%
59%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
WOR
0 - 2
BOS
39%
24%
37%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -1 |