Chorley vs Worcester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
23.1%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chorley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2016 |
CHO
3 - 2
FYL
27%
25%
48%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
CHO
1 - 1
TAM
42%
25%
33%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
ALF
1 - 0
CHO
40%
24%
37%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
CHO
3 - 0
COR
65%
20%
15%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2016 |
FYL
1 - 0
CHO
57%
22%
21%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Worcester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
WOR
2 - 0
NOR
21%
24%
55%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
FYL
2 - 3
WOR
74%
17%
9%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
WOR
1 - 2
COR
59%
22%
19%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2016 |
WOR
1 - 2
GLO
54%
24%
22%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 2015 |
WOR
0 - 0
BRA
54%
24%
23%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |