Chorley vs United of Manchester analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
26.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chorley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2016 |
CHO
0 - 0
WAU
56%
23%
22%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
CHO
1 - 2
AIR
23%
25%
52%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2016 |
CHO
2 - 1
SOU
47%
26%
27%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
CHO
1 - 2
PNE
14%
21%
65%
|
47 | 69 | 22 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
CHO
2 - 1
AFC
50%
25%
25%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
United of Manchester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
UNM
0 - 3
ROC
20%
23%
57%
|
44 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2016 |
NEL
1 - 4
UNM
72%
18%
10%
|
44 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
WIN
4 - 2
UNM
70%
19%
12%
|
44 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
DET
3 - 3
UNM
46%
24%
30%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
UNM
2 - 2
SOL
33%
25%
43%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |