Chorley vs United of Manchester analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.3%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
30.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chorley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
COR
2 - 2
CHO
47%
23%
30%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2015 |
NOR
4 - 0
CHO
40%
24%
36%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
CHO
2 - 3
NUN
72%
17%
10%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2015 |
ASH
1 - 5
CHO
31%
26%
43%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2015 |
CHO
1 - 3
BAR
38%
25%
37%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
United of Manchester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
UNM
1 - 1
TAM
49%
25%
27%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2015 |
UNM
1 - 2
STO
70%
18%
11%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
GLO
1 - 0
UNM
26%
25%
50%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2015 |
RAD
1 - 2
UNM
14%
22%
64%
|
51 | 20 | 31 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2015 |
UNM
0 - 1
BEN
20%
22%
58%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | 0 |