Chorley vs Tamworth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
29%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chorley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2015 |
LEA
1 - 3
CHO
24%
24%
52%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
STO
0 - 2
CHO
39%
25%
36%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
CHO
2 - 2
FYL
43%
25%
32%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2015 |
BRA
3 - 2
CHO
33%
25%
42%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
BRA
0 - 1
CHO
21%
25%
54%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Tamworth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
TAM
3 - 1
HED
45%
26%
30%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
COL
2 - 0
TAM
17%
22%
61%
|
51 | 31 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
TAM
2 - 0
BRA
62%
21%
17%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
FYL
1 - 1
TAM
48%
25%
27%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
TAM
4 - 3
OXF
56%
23%
21%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |