Chorley vs Spennymoor Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
26.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chorley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2018 |
STO
3 - 0
CHO
35%
26%
40%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
BRA
1 - 0
CHO
29%
25%
46%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
CHO
3 - 2
BAR
48%
26%
25%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
AFC
1 - 1
CHO
23%
24%
54%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
PET
0 - 3
CHO
18%
20%
61%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Spennymoor Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2018 |
SPE
3 - 0
YOR
50%
23%
27%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
SPE
0 - 0
CUR
64%
20%
16%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
BRA
4 - 1
SPE
48%
24%
27%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -2 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
SPE
5 - 0
ASH
46%
23%
31%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +2 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
HER
0 - 3
SPE
58%
22%
20%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | +2 |