Chorley vs Spennymoor Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.3%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
45.5%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chorley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
NUN
1 - 1
CHO
42%
25%
33%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
CHO
1 - 0
GAI
60%
22%
18%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2018 |
UNM
0 - 0
CHO
42%
24%
34%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2018 |
GAI
1 - 0
CHO
23%
24%
53%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
CHO
2 - 2
NOR
84%
12%
4%
|
46 | 17 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Spennymoor Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
SAL
3 - 2
SPE
48%
23%
29%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2018 |
SPE
1 - 2
BRO
34%
24%
42%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
BRO
0 - 0
SPE
52%
22%
26%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
SPE
0 - 1
NUN
65%
19%
16%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2018 |
EAS
2 - 5
SPE
35%
24%
41%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | +1 |