FA Cup 1/1024
Global 2-3
Chorley vs Southport analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
24%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chorley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
CHO
4 - 1
CHE
40%
25%
35%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
CHO
9 - 0
GLO
33%
26%
41%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | +2 |
| 30 Aug. 2021 |
ALF
0 - 1
CHO
30%
25%
46%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
AFC
3 - 0
CHO
33%
25%
42%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
CHO
0 - 1
BRA
27%
27%
46%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Southport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
BRA
1 - 0
SOU
69%
19%
12%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
SOU
3 - 3
GAT
34%
26%
41%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2021 |
FYL
2 - 1
SOU
75%
16%
9%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
SOU
1 - 1
KID
42%
25%
33%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
SPE
3 - 2
SOU
71%
17%
12%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | 0 |