Chorley vs Southport analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.1%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
13%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.3%
13.6%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chorley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
NUN
0 - 1
CHO
31%
26%
44%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2018 |
GUI
0 - 2
CHO
18%
23%
59%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
CHO
1 - 0
YOR
47%
25%
28%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2018 |
CHO
1 - 2
FLE
19%
24%
57%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2018 |
CHO
0 - 1
TRA
21%
25%
55%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Southport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
SOU
0 - 1
STO
29%
25%
46%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2018 |
SOU
1 - 3
ALT
26%
24%
50%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
AFC
1 - 0
SOU
48%
24%
28%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
SOU
3 - 1
BCF
29%
24%
48%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2018 |
SOU
1 - 1
STA
14%
21%
65%
|
37 | 62 | 25 | 0 |