Chorley vs Salford City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
42.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chorley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
KID
0 - 1
CHO
56%
23%
21%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2017 |
WIG
14 - 0
CHO
65%
21%
13%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2017 |
CHO
0 - 3
BPO
21%
25%
55%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2017 |
CHO
2 - 3
BOL
10%
18%
72%
|
45 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
HAL
2 - 1
CHO
60%
22%
18%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Salford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
SAL
0 - 2
DAR
55%
22%
23%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2017 |
SAL
1 - 2
BCF
40%
25%
35%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
SAL
2 - 1
UNM
66%
20%
15%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
HAL
1 - 1
SAL
46%
24%
29%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2017 |
SAL
1 - 1
HAL
42%
24%
33%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |