Chorley vs Northwich Victoria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
19.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chorley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2015 |
NOR
0 - 0
CHO
28%
25%
47%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
CHO
2 - 2
HED
60%
21%
18%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
WHI
2 - 3
CHO
11%
17%
71%
|
50 | 22 | 28 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
CHO
2 - 2
SOL
48%
25%
27%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
CHO
2 - 0
FRI
62%
22%
17%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Northwich Victoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2015 |
NOR
0 - 0
CHO
28%
25%
47%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2015 |
NOR
4 - 0
RAD
79%
15%
7%
|
43 | 23 | 20 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
HAR
0 - 1
NOR
18%
22%
60%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2015 |
MAR
2 - 4
NOR
43%
26%
31%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
HYD
1 - 2
NOR
38%
24%
38%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | +1 |