Chorley vs North Ferriby United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.9%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.6%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
+4
11.3%
3-0
14.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
17%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.6%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.4%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
0
12.1%
4%
Win probability
0.4
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chorley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
DAR
2 - 2
CHO
30%
25%
45%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
CUR
0 - 2
CHO
30%
25%
45%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2018 |
CHO
0 - 0
KID
31%
26%
43%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
CHO
0 - 1
TOW
31%
25%
43%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 2018 |
SOU
3 - 0
CHO
14%
21%
65%
|
48 | 29 | 19 | -2 |
Matches
North Ferriby United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
NOR
1 - 5
BOS
11%
18%
71%
|
18 | 41 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
NOR
0 - 3
ALF
20%
20%
60%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 2018 |
YOR
2 - 0
NOR
87%
9%
3%
|
19 | 46 | 27 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2017 |
NOR
1 - 4
YOR
9%
17%
74%
|
21 | 46 | 25 | -2 |
| 23 Dec. 2017 |
TOW
3 - 0
NOR
87%
9%
4%
|
21 | 50 | 29 | 0 |