Chorley vs Marine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.8%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
16.6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chorley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
CHO
2 - 0
LEA
55%
25%
21%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
GRA
3 - 4
CHO
46%
24%
30%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
STO
1 - 1
CHO
40%
25%
35%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
CHO
2 - 2
NUN
56%
23%
22%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2017 |
CHO
1 - 2
FLE
18%
24%
58%
|
46 | 61 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Marine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
RFC
1 - 4
MAR
54%
23%
24%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 0
UNM
38%
23%
39%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
HAL
1 - 1
MAR
34%
25%
41%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
ATH
1 - 5
MAR
34%
22%
44%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2017 |
LAN
3 - 0
MAR
56%
22%
22%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -1 |