Chorley vs Leamington analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
26.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chorley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
CHO
2 - 0
DER
6%
15%
78%
|
43 | 67 | 24 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2021 |
FYL
4 - 0
CHO
63%
20%
17%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 2020 |
CHE
1 - 2
CHO
54%
22%
24%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2020 |
CHO
3 - 1
FYL
17%
22%
61%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | +2 |
| 15 Dec. 2020 |
GUI
2 - 0
CHO
45%
24%
32%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Leamington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2021 |
LEA
1 - 1
GLO
29%
26%
45%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2020 |
LEA
0 - 0
HER
46%
26%
28%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2020 |
GLO
1 - 0
LEA
55%
23%
23%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
WRE
0 - 0
LEA
46%
26%
28%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2020 |
LEA
5 - 0
STI
68%
19%
12%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | 0 |