National League North Playoff Semi-finals
Global 2-1
Chorley vs Kidderminster Harriers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
42.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chorley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
CHO
0 - 2
HAL
30%
26%
43%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
GLO
2 - 2
CHO
40%
26%
34%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2017 |
STA
0 - 1
CHO
24%
24%
52%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2017 |
CHO
1 - 0
WOR
71%
19%
10%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
NUN
1 - 1
CHO
42%
26%
33%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Kidderminster Harriers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
KID
3 - 1
BRA
78%
15%
7%
|
50 | 32 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
GAI
1 - 1
KID
14%
22%
64%
|
50 | 31 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2017 |
ALT
1 - 4
KID
13%
21%
66%
|
50 | 27 | 23 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2017 |
KID
1 - 0
BOS
66%
20%
15%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2017 |
STA
1 - 0
KID
16%
22%
62%
|
50 | 31 | 19 | -1 |