Chorley vs Hednesford Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.4%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
23.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chorley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
WOR
2 - 0
CHO
29%
28%
43%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2014 |
CHO
1 - 0
NOR
46%
25%
29%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
TAM
0 - 3
CHO
25%
26%
49%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
CHO
2 - 1
BRA
56%
23%
21%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2014 |
BAR
4 - 0
CHO
32%
28%
40%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Hednesford Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
HED
1 - 1
GUI
33%
25%
42%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2014 |
HYD
0 - 1
HED
16%
20%
64%
|
47 | 23 | 24 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
HED
1 - 1
STO
60%
21%
19%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
FYL
3 - 1
HED
47%
25%
28%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2014 |
HED
2 - 1
SOL
61%
21%
18%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |