Chorley vs Ebbsfleet United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
29.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chorley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
CHO
1 - 2
YEO
29%
26%
45%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
CHO
2 - 0
SPE
29%
24%
47%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
EAS
0 - 0
CHO
56%
23%
21%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2019 |
HAL
0 - 0
CHO
60%
23%
17%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
CHO
0 - 0
ALD
52%
24%
23%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Ebbsfleet United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
SUT
2 - 3
EBB
40%
26%
34%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2019 |
WOK
0 - 1
EBB
62%
22%
17%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
EBB
1 - 1
WOK
25%
23%
52%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
EBB
1 - 2
MAI
41%
25%
34%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2019 |
EBB
2 - 4
GUL
23%
24%
54%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | -1 |