Chorley vs Colwyn Bay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
15.1%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chorley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2014 |
STA
1 - 2
CHO
27%
25%
48%
|
52 | 34 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
CHO
2 - 2
STA
68%
20%
13%
|
52 | 34 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
CHO
3 - 2
HYD
77%
15%
8%
|
52 | 28 | 24 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2014 |
CHO
3 - 0
STO
52%
25%
23%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
BOS
0 - 0
CHO
45%
25%
30%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Colwyn Bay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
STO
2 - 1
COL
60%
21%
19%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2014 |
COL
0 - 1
TOW
49%
24%
27%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
COL
3 - 1
GLO
47%
24%
30%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +2 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
GAI
6 - 3
COL
40%
25%
36%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | -2 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
COL
0 - 0
BRA
55%
22%
23%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | -1 |