Chorley vs Chester analysis

Chorley Chester
50 ELO 55
-3% Tilt -8.8%
3958º General ELO ranking 3405º
132º Country ELO ranking 110º
ELO win probability
39.1%
Chorley
26.7%
Draw
34.2%
Chester

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.1%
Win probability
Chorley
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
34.2%
Win probability
Chester
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Chorley
+12%
+7%
Chester

Points and table prediction

Chorley
Their league position
Chester
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
83
18º
69
21º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Tamworth
96
96
100%
Scunthorpe United
88
88
100%
Brackley Town
85
85
100%
Chorley
83
83
100%
Alfreton Town
80
80
100%
Boston United
75
75
100%
Curzon Ashton
75
75
100%
South Shields
74
74
100%
Spennymoor Town
74
74
100%
Chester
10º
69
69
10º
100%
Hereford
11º
69
69
11º
100%
Warrington Town
12º
64
64
12º
100%
Scarborough Athletic
13º
64
64
13º
100%
Buxton
14º
62
62
14º
100%
Peterborough Sports
15º
58
58
15º
100%
Southport
17º
56
56
16º
100%
Darlington FC
16º
56
56
17º
100%
Kings Lynn Town
18º
55
55
18º
100%
Rushall Olympic
19º
54
54
19º
100%
Farsley Celtic
20º
53
53
20º
100%
Blyth Spartans
21º
50
50
21º
100%
Banbury United
22º
38
38
22º
100%
Gloucester City
23º
36
36
23º
100%
Bishops Stortford
24º
21
21
24º
100%
Expected probabilities
Chorley
Chester
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Next round
100% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Chorley
Chester
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Chorley
Chorley
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Jan. 2024
HYT
Hythe Town
1 - 2
Chorley
CHO
23%
24%
53%
51 43 8 0
06 Jan. 2024
ALF
Alfreton Town
2 - 0
Chorley
CHO
45%
26%
29%
52 51 1 -1
30 Dec. 2023
CHO
Chorley
1 - 0
Spennymoor Town
SPE
68%
19%
14%
52 42 10 0
26 Dec. 2023
SPE
Spennymoor Town
0 - 2
Chorley
CHO
27%
25%
48%
52 43 9 0
23 Dec. 2023
CHO
Chorley
4 - 0
Curzon Ashton
CUR
43%
26%
31%
50 51 1 +2

Matches

Chester
Chester
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Jan. 2024
CHE
Chester
2 - 0
Bishops Stortford
BIS
63%
22%
15%
54 44 10 0
16 Jan. 2024
CHE
Chester
0 - 1
Buxton
BUX
62%
22%
16%
55 46 9 -1
13 Jan. 2024
CHE
Chester
3 - 0
Gloucester City
GLO
64%
22%
15%
55 44 11 0
06 Jan. 2024
CHE
Chester
0 - 1
Rushall Olympic
RUS
69%
20%
11%
55 43 12 0
01 Jan. 2024
WAR
Warrington Town
1 - 0
Chester
CHE
28%
27%
45%
56 48 8 -1