Chorley vs Bradford Park Avenue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.3%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
12.8%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chorley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
LOW
3 - 1
CHO
21%
24%
55%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
GUI
0 - 2
CHO
52%
24%
24%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
CHO
0 - 0
COL
65%
20%
15%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2014 |
STA
1 - 2
CHO
27%
25%
48%
|
52 | 34 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
CHO
2 - 2
STA
68%
20%
13%
|
52 | 34 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Bradford Park Avenue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2014 |
BRA
1 - 4
KID
31%
26%
43%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
TOW
0 - 2
BRA
60%
21%
19%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | +2 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
BRA
3 - 1
LEA
45%
25%
30%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
BRA
2 - 1
BRA
48%
25%
27%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2014 |
BRA
1 - 1
NOR
26%
24%
50%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | 0 |