FA Cup 1/256
Global 4-3
Chorley vs Boston United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.1%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
16.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chorley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
ALF
0 - 2
CHO
29%
25%
46%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
ASH
0 - 1
CHO
14%
19%
68%
|
44 | 25 | 19 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
CHO
3 - 2
AFC
66%
21%
14%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
STA
1 - 3
CHO
28%
24%
48%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2017 |
BLY
2 - 0
CHO
65%
19%
16%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Boston United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
AFC
2 - 1
BOS
50%
23%
27%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
MAN
0 - 2
BOS
24%
20%
56%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
BOS
1 - 1
DAR
27%
23%
50%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2017 |
HAU
0 - 5
BOS
13%
16%
71%
|
34 | 16 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
BOS
1 - 1
HAU
81%
12%
7%
|
34 | 16 | 18 | 0 |