National League North Playoff Semi-finals
Global 2-2
Chorley vs Boston United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
27.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chorley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
CHO
0 - 0
SOL
70%
18%
12%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
GUI
2 - 1
CHO
40%
26%
34%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
GLO
2 - 1
CHO
21%
24%
55%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
CHO
0 - 0
BAR
52%
24%
25%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
NOR
3 - 4
CHO
46%
25%
29%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Boston United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
BOS
0 - 0
LEA
78%
14%
8%
|
50 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
SOL
1 - 4
BOS
28%
25%
47%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
STA
1 - 1
BOS
28%
24%
48%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
BOS
2 - 0
TAM
51%
24%
26%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +2 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
OXF
0 - 0
BOS
39%
25%
36%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -1 |