Chorley vs Blyth Spartans analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
30.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chorley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
BOS
2 - 2
CHO
47%
26%
28%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2023 |
BLY
1 - 1
CHO
43%
26%
31%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
CHO
1 - 0
SCA
44%
24%
32%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2023 |
CHO
8 - 0
DAR
62%
21%
17%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
CHO
2 - 0
PET
51%
24%
26%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Blyth Spartans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
RUS
1 - 3
BLY
48%
23%
29%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
BLY
2 - 3
PET
56%
22%
22%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2023 |
BLY
1 - 1
CHO
43%
26%
31%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
WAR
1 - 3
BLY
52%
23%
25%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +2 |
| 14 Nov. 2023 |
CUR
3 - 1
BLY
54%
25%
21%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |