Chorley vs AFC Telford United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
21%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
21%
13.5%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chorley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
STA
1 - 3
CHO
28%
24%
48%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2017 |
BLY
2 - 0
CHO
65%
19%
16%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
NOR
0 - 2
CHO
17%
23%
60%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2017 |
CHO
4 - 1
DAR
33%
25%
42%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
CHO
2 - 0
YOR
24%
25%
50%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | +3 |
Matches
AFC Telford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
AFC
2 - 0
BAR
41%
24%
35%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2017 |
AFC
3 - 2
STO
23%
27%
50%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | +3 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
AFC
1 - 5
TOW
18%
23%
58%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | -2 |
| 05 Sep. 2017 |
NUN
0 - 2
AFC
74%
17%
9%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
AFC
2 - 3
BLY
13%
19%
68%
|
32 | 48 | 16 | -1 |