Chorley vs AFC Telford United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
25.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chorley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
SOL
0 - 2
CHO
58%
23%
20%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
BRA
1 - 1
CHO
28%
25%
47%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
CHO
3 - 1
GAI
56%
23%
21%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
TAM
2 - 1
CHO
41%
25%
33%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
CHO
0 - 0
STA
58%
23%
20%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
AFC Telford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
AFC
2 - 0
WOR
53%
24%
23%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2016 |
BRA
0 - 0
AFC
33%
27%
40%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
NOR
2 - 0
AFC
62%
22%
17%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
AFC
0 - 3
SOL
33%
26%
41%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
NUN
0 - 0
AFC
41%
26%
32%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |