Chongqing Tonglianglong vs Yunnan Yukun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
37.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+60%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
2º
9º
4º
66
1º
11º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
66 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
57 | 57 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 47 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 26 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 22 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 19 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chongqing Tonglianglong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
CHO
1 - 1
DUF
50%
24%
26%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
GUA
2 - 0
CHO
51%
25%
24%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
CHO
1 - 1
YAN
56%
23%
21%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
JIA
1 - 0
CHO
32%
25%
44%
|
55 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
CHO
1 - 1
QFC
57%
23%
20%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Yunnan Yukun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
YUN
0 - 0
GFC
48%
26%
26%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
WWF
0 - 4
YUN
29%
28%
44%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
YUN
3 - 0
JIA
67%
20%
13%
|
61 | 42 | 19 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
YUN
1 - 1
GUA
48%
25%
27%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
ANH
0 - 0
YUN
34%
27%
39%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |