Chongqing Tonglianglong vs Shanghai Shenhua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.7%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.5%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.7%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.3%
78%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.1%
0-3
11%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.6%
0-4
7%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
9.8%
0-5
3.6%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.8%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chongqing Tonglianglong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
CHO
5 - 0
BIT
60%
22%
18%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
WCH
0 - 5
CHO
50%
25%
26%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +2 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 1
CHO
16%
18%
66%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
CHO
2 - 0
SSP
56%
23%
21%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2023 |
CHO
3 - 0
NHC
12%
17%
71%
|
33 | 54 | 21 | +8 |
Matches
Shanghai Shenhua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
SHA
1 - 1
CBC
54%
25%
21%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
BEI
2 - 1
SHA
46%
26%
28%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
WFC
1 - 2
SHA
51%
25%
24%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2023 |
SHA
3 - 0
SHE
78%
15%
6%
|
72 | 47 | 25 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
DAL
2 - 1
SHA
21%
27%
52%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | -1 |