Chongqing Liangjiang vs Beijing Guoan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.6%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
9%
2-1
5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
50.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
15.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
15.4%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chongqing Liangjiang
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2009 |
CHO
0 - 0
CHA
21%
26%
53%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2009 |
SHA
3 - 1
CHO
75%
17%
8%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2009 |
CHO
0 - 1
GUI
33%
30%
37%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Jun. 2009 |
SHA
0 - 0
CHO
77%
16%
7%
|
60 | 81 | 21 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 2009 |
CHO
1 - 1
CHE
42%
28%
30%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Beijing Guoan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2009 |
HAN
2 - 1
BEI
31%
27%
42%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2009 |
BEI
2 - 1
DAL
45%
26%
29%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2009 |
GUA
1 - 1
BEI
38%
26%
36%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2009 |
BEI
0 - 0
HEN
65%
22%
13%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2009 |
BEI
1 - 0
TIT
50%
26%
24%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |