Cholet vs Thouars analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.7%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
11%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cholet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
USS
0 - 3
CHO
26%
26%
48%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
CHO
2 - 1
STP
44%
24%
31%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2015 |
CHO
1 - 3
BRE
12%
24%
63%
|
40 | 71 | 31 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
THO
1 - 2
CHO
34%
28%
38%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
LRO
1 - 2
CHO
40%
24%
36%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Thouars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
THO
0 - 3
CHA
31%
26%
43%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
AVO
2 - 0
THO
47%
23%
30%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
THO
1 - 2
CHO
34%
28%
38%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -2 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
THO
1 - 0
ANG
29%
26%
45%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
USS
1 - 0
THO
39%
26%
35%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -1 |