Cholet vs Thouars analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
15.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cholet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
NAN
1 - 2
CHO
57%
23%
20%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
LEP
1 - 0
CHO
31%
26%
42%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
CHO
1 - 4
AVO
78%
14%
8%
|
43 | 24 | 19 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
LAS
1 - 3
CHO
37%
25%
38%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
CHO
4 - 0
ANG
35%
26%
39%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | +3 |
Matches
Thouars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
THO
1 - 0
AVO
58%
22%
20%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
RCL
1 - 2
THO
29%
25%
46%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
THO
1 - 1
LIM
29%
26%
45%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
CHA
2 - 0
THO
55%
24%
21%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
THO
0 - 1
CHA
49%
24%
26%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |