Cholet vs Stade Brestois analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.4%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.3%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
9.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
24.2%
63.4%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
18.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
28.1%
0-2
14.9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
19.9%
0-3
8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
-3
10%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cholet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
THO
1 - 2
CHO
34%
28%
38%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
LRO
1 - 2
CHO
40%
24%
36%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
ASB
0 - 0
CHO
62%
23%
16%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
CHO
1 - 1
TOU
50%
24%
25%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
LMU
1 - 0
CHO
74%
18%
8%
|
38 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Stade Brestois
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2015 |
BRE
0 - 0
NIO
56%
25%
19%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
TRO
1 - 0
BRE
54%
26%
20%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2015 |
BRE
1 - 0
STL
54%
25%
21%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
BRE
2 - 1
AJA
43%
28%
29%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
DIJ
1 - 0
BRE
52%
26%
22%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |