Cholet vs Châteauroux II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.2%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
26.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cholet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
FLE
1 - 2
CHO
52%
24%
24%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
CHO
1 - 1
LEP
48%
25%
27%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
ANG
0 - 2
CHO
58%
23%
20%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
THO
0 - 3
CHO
32%
27%
41%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
STG
1 - 1
CHO
50%
25%
25%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Châteauroux II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
CHA
0 - 1
TOU
58%
22%
20%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
LRO
2 - 2
CHA
37%
24%
39%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
CHA
5 - 1
CHA
55%
23%
23%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
STG
1 - 1
CHA
38%
26%
35%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
STP
2 - 0
CHA
43%
25%
32%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -2 |