Cholet vs Avranches analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.2%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
25%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
32.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cholet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2018 |
CON
4 - 3
CHO
56%
24%
21%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2018 |
CHO
3 - 1
LYO
47%
26%
27%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
RED
1 - 0
CHO
62%
22%
16%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2017 |
CHO
2 - 4
DUN
32%
27%
41%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2017 |
USB
1 - 1
CHO
50%
26%
24%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Avranches
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2018 |
AVR
0 - 0
PAU
41%
27%
32%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2018 |
RED
2 - 2
AVR
56%
24%
20%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2018 |
DUN
2 - 2
AVR
55%
24%
20%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2017 |
AVR
1 - 2
ROD
47%
26%
27%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2017 |
SAN
2 - 1
AVR
45%
26%
29%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |