Chojniczanka Chojnice vs Olimpia Elblag analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.3%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
20%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20%
11.6%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
3º
9º
4º
11
9º
18º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 79 |
1º
|
71.5% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 72 |
2º
|
42% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 71 |
3º
|
42.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
34 | 59 |
4º
|
51.5% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 51 |
5º
|
24% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 51 |
6º
|
20% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 48 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 48 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 46 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 44 |
10º
|
13% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 41 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 41 |
12º
|
11.5% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 40 |
13º
|
13.5% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 38 |
14º
|
9.5% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 33 |
15º
|
16.5% | |
|
17º
|
13 | 33 |
16º
|
29% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 32 |
17º
|
25% | |
|
|
18º
|
11 | 23 |
18º
|
79% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
2.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
87.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
10% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 1.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 98% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chojniczanka Chojnice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
HUT
3 - 2
CHO
38%
25%
36%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
CHO
0 - 1
KAL
46%
26%
28%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
LKS
0 - 1
CHO
30%
26%
44%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
CHO
3 - 2
WIS
48%
23%
29%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
CHO
2 - 1
ZAG
56%
24%
20%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Olimpia Elblag
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
OLI
0 - 3
WIE
26%
26%
48%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
WIS
3 - 2
OLI
63%
22%
15%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
OLI
0 - 1
SKR
48%
26%
27%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
STA
4 - 2
OLI
59%
22%
19%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
SKO
3 - 0
OLI
56%
25%
19%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |