Tercera Playoffs Semi-finals
Global 1-4
Choco vs Deportivo Aragón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
39.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2016 |
CDB
2 - 2
CHO
65%
20%
15%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
CHO
2 - 1
CDB
24%
23%
53%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | +4 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
SIL
1 - 0
CHO
29%
25%
46%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | -2 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
CHO
4 - 0
BOU
45%
24%
30%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +2 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
CHO
0 - 2
BAR
69%
18%
13%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Deportivo Aragón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2016 |
MLL
2 - 0
ZAR
55%
23%
22%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
ZAR
0 - 0
MLL
46%
26%
28%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
ZAR
4 - 0
ATL
78%
14%
8%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
BEL
0 - 1
ZAR
13%
21%
66%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
ZAR
1 - 0
CFA
65%
20%
15%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |