Choco vs Rápido de Bouzas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
17.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
CHO
3 - 1
RCV
64%
20%
16%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
SIL
2 - 0
CHO
28%
25%
47%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
CHO
2 - 1
ASP
66%
18%
15%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
EST
1 - 3
CHO
31%
26%
43%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
CHO
1 - 1
UDO
56%
21%
23%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Rápido de Bouzas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
BOU
1 - 4
MEL
11%
20%
69%
|
26 | 50 | 24 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
BOU
1 - 1
EST
37%
27%
36%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2020 |
PON
1 - 3
BOU
24%
23%
54%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
BER
2 - 0
BOU
52%
23%
25%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
BOU
1 - 2
BAR
41%
25%
35%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | -1 |