Choco vs Portonovo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.2%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
15.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2024 |
ANT
3 - 4
CHO
31%
25%
44%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
CHO
5 - 1
MOA
74%
16%
11%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
CEL
0 - 1
CHO
58%
21%
20%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
CHO
3 - 1
ARN
58%
21%
21%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
CDV
3 - 0
CHO
48%
23%
29%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Portonovo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2024 |
POR
3 - 0
VEL
53%
22%
24%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
BAR
3 - 0
POR
59%
21%
20%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
POR
2 - 0
ALL
81%
12%
6%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
ALE
2 - 4
POR
30%
22%
48%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
POR
0 - 1
PON
55%
22%
23%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | -1 |