Choco vs Portonovo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
24.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
CHO
1 - 0
ANT
64%
19%
17%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
MOA
1 - 2
CHO
34%
25%
41%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
CHO
0 - 0
CEL
51%
23%
27%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
ARN
2 - 2
CHO
31%
24%
45%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
CHO
1 - 1
CDV
49%
23%
28%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Portonovo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
VEL
2 - 0
POR
18%
21%
62%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
POR
3 - 0
BAR
54%
22%
24%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
ALL
3 - 1
POR
15%
20%
65%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | -2 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
POR
2 - 0
ALE
86%
10%
5%
|
20 | 8 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
PON
1 - 3
POR
48%
23%
30%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |