Choco vs Noia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.7%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.4%
7.9%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+55%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
ALO
2 - 0
CHO
46%
24%
29%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
CHO
1 - 1
ARO
44%
25%
31%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
CEL
2 - 1
CHO
20%
23%
57%
|
29 | 18 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
CHO
0 - 1
BAR
50%
24%
27%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
SOM
2 - 1
CHO
56%
22%
22%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Noia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
NOI
3 - 2
ARE
29%
25%
47%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
VIL
0 - 2
NOI
64%
21%
16%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
NOI
0 - 1
NEG
30%
25%
45%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
OUR
0 - 0
NOI
75%
17%
9%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
BER
3 - 2
NOI
82%
14%
5%
|
15 | 37 | 22 | 0 |