Choco vs Noia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.5%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
12%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.1%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
14%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14%
6.5%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+54%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
ALO
1 - 1
CHO
39%
26%
35%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
CHO
3 - 0
RIB
62%
21%
18%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
ARO
1 - 3
CHO
40%
26%
34%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
CHO
3 - 2
BOI
39%
25%
36%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
ASP
2 - 1
CHO
46%
25%
30%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Noia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
NOI
2 - 2
BAR
19%
25%
56%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
RIB
2 - 0
NOI
72%
17%
11%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
NOI
3 - 1
BAR
24%
25%
51%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | +2 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
BER
2 - 0
NOI
68%
21%
11%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
NOI
0 - 4
DEP
15%
21%
64%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | -1 |