Choco vs Céltiga FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
11%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.8%
8.2%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
POL
1 - 1
CHO
43%
24%
34%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
CHO
0 - 0
OUR
52%
24%
25%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
SOM
2 - 4
CHO
54%
23%
23%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | +2 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
CHO
0 - 0
RIB
75%
16%
9%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
RCV
1 - 1
CHO
32%
25%
43%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Céltiga FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
CEL
2 - 0
BOI
36%
24%
40%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
BAR
1 - 2
CEL
84%
11%
5%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
CEL
3 - 0
POR
63%
20%
17%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
UDO
0 - 0
CEL
82%
12%
5%
|
15 | 28 | 13 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
CEL
1 - 3
RCF
10%
19%
72%
|
16 | 43 | 27 | -1 |