Choco vs Céltiga FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
16.1%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
RIB
0 - 2
CHO
46%
24%
30%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
CHO
0 - 1
DEP
25%
24%
51%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
BAR
0 - 0
CHO
30%
25%
46%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
CHO
2 - 0
NEG
53%
23%
24%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
CER
2 - 3
CHO
63%
21%
16%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Céltiga FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
CEL
0 - 0
BOU
27%
24%
49%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
VIL
0 - 1
CEL
60%
23%
18%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
CEL
3 - 1
ORD
76%
16%
8%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
ARO
1 - 0
CEL
74%
16%
10%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
CEL
2 - 0
BAR
36%
24%
40%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | +1 |