Choco vs CD Velle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.5%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.4%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.5%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
13.1%
6.4%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
BAR
1 - 1
CHO
43%
25%
33%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
CHO
3 - 1
ALL
68%
18%
14%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
ALE
0 - 1
CHO
20%
21%
59%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
CHO
2 - 4
PON
57%
22%
22%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
CAM
1 - 1
CHO
29%
25%
46%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
CD Velle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
POR
0 - 0
VEL
80%
13%
7%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
VEL
1 - 1
BAR
17%
21%
62%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
ALL
3 - 0
VEL
56%
22%
22%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
VEL
0 - 2
ALE
69%
17%
14%
|
13 | 8 | 5 | -2 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
PON
3 - 1
VEL
66%
19%
15%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |