Choco vs CD Moaña analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9%
3-0
9%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.5%
10.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+58%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2024 |
CEL
0 - 1
CHO
58%
21%
20%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
CHO
3 - 1
ARN
58%
21%
21%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
CDV
3 - 0
CHO
48%
23%
29%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
CHO
3 - 0
UDA
59%
21%
20%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
CUL
0 - 3
CHO
37%
24%
38%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
CD Moaña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2024 |
MOA
3 - 2
VEL
38%
25%
37%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
BAR
5 - 1
MOA
66%
19%
15%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
MOA
2 - 0
ALL
65%
19%
16%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
ALE
6 - 1
MOA
29%
22%
49%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
MOA
0 - 1
PON
47%
23%
30%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | -1 |